Up South Ski Forecast

LIVE 7:07 AM · Mad River Glen · Sugarbush · from your hilltop up

Inversion: it gets warmer as you climb, too warm to make snow (coldest wet bulb 29° at Lincoln Peak).

Warming 0.8° per 1,000 ft: cold air is pooled in the valleys (a normal day is about 3.5°).

Current Conditions / Bristol to the Ridge

pinch to zoom the map · dots = live temperature · blue = below freezing (blended from the stations by height) · dashed = 32°F line on the terrain · wind barbs (Beaufort): the staff points to where the wind comes from, one feather per force level, a pennant at force 10; mph beside it (g = gust) · white = ski trails, dark = lifts (© OpenStreetMap contributors) · green = Bear Cobble sugaring lines (mainlines) · grey = VT 116, 17, 100, and Bristol through Lincoln to Lincoln Gap · dots are nudged slightly off the trails and apart from each other so everything stays readable

Storm Snow / Next 3 Days

Nothing meaningful in the next 3 days: the most anywhere on the map is 0.0″ (most at a station: Bristol, 0.0″). The full snowfall map appears here when a storm is coming (2″+ anywhere). See what a storm map looks like →

What to Expect / On the Snow

Groomers

Pre-season. No snowpack on the ground yet.

Snowmaking-cold nights coming: Tue (upper mountain).

Backcountry & trees

Nothing to ski yet.

Model inputs (ECMWF): new snow last 3 days 0.0″, next 2 days 0.0″, base rain last 3 days 0.10″, summit snow depth 0″, next 24 h summit 31–48°, base 40–56°, ridge gusts to 42 mph. · a weather read, not an avalanche forecast

The Climb / Valley to Summit

32°F

3,940 ftLincoln Peak

36.0°

2,940 ftMRG Midstation

41.0°

2,543 ftMt Ellen Mid

41.0°

1,738 ftLincoln Gap Road

37.4°

1,719 ftLincoln Base

37.2°

1,668 ftZeno

40.1°

1,652 ftMRG Base

36.8°

1,439 ftPorter's

39.1°

1,436 ftMt Ellen Base

36.5°

1,336 ftTim's

36.5°

1,300 ftDwyer's

39.2°

635 ftStarksboro

38.5°

378 ftBristol

32.5°

0°10°20°30°40°50°

every station by height, top of the mountain first · blue = below freezing · ❄︎ = cold and dry enough for snowguns (wet bulb 27° or below)

On the Mountain / Right Now

Sugarbush

Mt Ellen Base 1,436 ft	36°	wet bulb 34° 83% humidity	NNW 0 g0 mph 24h low 35° · rain 0.00″
Lincoln Base 1,719 ft	37°	wet bulb 34° 78% humidity	W 2 g6 mph 24h low 35° · rain 0.00″
Mt Ellen Mid 2,543 ft	41°	wet bulb 33° 43% humidity	NNE 3 g– mph 24h low 32° · rain 0.00″
Lincoln Peak 3,940 ft	36°	wet bulb 29° 48% humidity	wind sensor iced? reads 0 for 3 h+ while the ridge forecast blows 24h low 28° · rain 0.00″
Mt Ellen Summit 4,083 ft	34°	NWS forecast for this hour; no live station up top	SW 20 g25 mph feels like 22°

Mad River Glen

MRG Base 1,652 ft	37°	wet bulb 32° 68% humidity	N 3 g4 mph 24h low 35° · rain 0.00″
MRG Midstation 2,940 ft	41°	wet bulb 32° 41% humidity	SSE 12 g14 mph 24h low 30° · rain 0.00″

West slope · Bear Cobble side

Bear Cobble 1,580 ft · their station isn’t reporting	–°	wet bulb –° –% humidity	24h low –° · rain –″
Zeno 1,668 ft	40°	wet bulb 36° 72% humidity	SE 0 g0 mph 24h low 35° · rain 0.00″
Lincoln Gap Road 1,738 ft	37°	wet bulb 34° 80% humidity	24h low 35° · rain –″
Dunham Maple 1,773 ft · station offline, last report Jun 18	–°	wet bulb –° –% humidity	24h low –° · rain –″

Mt Ellen Summit / Next 36 Hours

No snow forecast up top over the period. Last Updated at 227 AM EDT Wed Oct 07 2026
TODAY Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph, increasing to 30 to 35 mph this afternoon.
TONIGHT Mostly cloudy until midnight, then becoming in and out of clouds. A slight chance of showers until midnight, then a chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph.
THURSDAY Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 30 to 35 mph.

When	Temp	Feels	Wind mph	Summit	Precip
Wed 6a	34°	23°	SW 18 g23	31% cloud	0%
Wed 9a	39°	28°	SW 24 g31	45% cloud	1%
Wed 12p	48°	40°	SSW 28 g37	61% cloud	4%
Wed 3p	52°	52°	SSW 31 g37	60% cloud	6%
Wed 6p	52°	52°	SSW 34 g39	54% cloud	7%
Wed 9p	50°	41°	SW 37 g42	in & out of cloud	21%
Thu 12a	50°	41°	SW 37 g41	in & out of cloud	20%
Thu 3a	50°	41°	SW 34 g36	in & out of cloud	35%
Thu 6a	49°	41°	SW 28 g31	61% cloud	42%
Thu 9a	47°	37°	WSW 35 g37	43% cloud	53%
Thu 12p	51°	51°	WSW 31 g35	in the clouds	41%
Thu 3p	52°	52°	W 29 g34	in & out of cloud	27%
Thu 6p	49°	40°	W 32 g32	25% cloud	22%

NWS Burlington enhanced mountain forecast for Mt Ellen, 4,083 ft · source

Snow Outlook / 7 Days

Day	Snow	Summit	Base	Freezing level	Top gust
Wed 10/7	rain to the summit	31–48°	40–56°	9,300–10,300 ft	32
Thu 10/8	rain to the summit	36–50°	44–58°	5,200–9,300 ft	31
Fri 10/9	dry	34–43°	42–52°	3,900–5,700 ft	33
Sat 10/10	dry	27–46°	36–55°	4,100–13,200 ft	21
Sun 10/11	dry	42–56°	51–64°	10,000–13,200 ft	35
Mon 10/12	rain to the summit	43–56°	51–64°	2,700–13,200 ft	28
Tue 10/13	rain to the summit	25–48°	34–56°	1,100–3,100 ft	41

ECMWF at Mt Ellen Summit (4,083 ft) and Lincoln Peak Base (1,719 ft), snow as fallen depth · freezing level from GFS · raw models, not yet corrected for these mountains

Last 3 Days / Every Station

hourly temperature · Sugarbush’s own stations (Lincoln Peak and the two Mids) have no public history, so their lines grow from Oct 6 as the rig records them

Up South ★ Ski Forecast