LIVE 10:06 AM · Mad River Glen · Sugarbush · from your hilltop up
Above freezing all the way to the summit, too warm to make snow (coldest wet bulb 35° at Lincoln Peak).
Cooling 2.6° per 1,000 ft of climb right now (a normal day is about 3.5°).
Current Conditions / Bristol to the Ridge
pinch to zoom the map · dots = live temperature · blue = below freezing (blended from the stations by height) · dashed = 32°F line on the terrain · wind barbs (Beaufort): the staff points to where the wind comes from, one feather per force level, a pennant at force 10; mph beside it (g = gust) · white = ski trails, dark = lifts (© OpenStreetMap contributors) · green = Bear Cobble sugaring lines (mainlines) · grey = VT 116, 17, 100, and Bristol through Lincoln to Lincoln Gap · dots are nudged slightly off the trails and apart from each other so everything stays readable
Storm Snow / Next 3 Days
Nothing meaningful in the next 3 days: the most anywhere on the map is 0.0″ (most at a station: Bristol, 0.0″). The full snowfall map appears here when a storm is coming (2″+ anywhere). See what a storm map looks like →
What to Expect / On the Snow
Groomers
Pre-season. No snowpack on the ground yet.
No snowmaking-cold nights in the next week (needs about 26°F or colder up top).
Backcountry & trees
Nothing to ski yet.
Model inputs (Up South blend for temperature, ECMWF for snow/rain): new snow last 3 days 0.0″, next 2 days 0.0″, base rain last 3 days 0.10″, summit snow depth 0″, next 24 h summit 39–50°, base 47–58°, ridge gusts to 42 mph. · a weather read, not an avalanche forecast
The Climb / Valley to Summit
32°F
3,940 ftLincoln Peak
2,940 ftMRG Midstation
2,543 ftMt Ellen Mid
1,738 ftLincoln Gap Road
1,719 ftLincoln Base
1,668 ftZeno
1,652 ftMRG Base
1,439 ftPorter's
1,436 ftMt Ellen Base
1,336 ftTim's
1,300 ftDwyer's
635 ftStarksboro
378 ftBristol
0°10°20°30°40°50°
every station by height, top of the mountain first · blue = below freezing · ❄︎ = cold and dry enough for snowguns (wet bulb 27° or below)
On the Mountain / Right Now
Sugarbush
| Mt Ellen Base 1,436 ft | 42° | wet bulb 39° 83% humidity | N 0 g1 mph 24h low 35° · rain 0.00″ |
| Lincoln Base 1,719 ft | 48° | wet bulb 41° 63% humidity | ESE 5 g12 mph 24h low 35° · rain 0.00″ |
| Mt Ellen Mid 2,543 ft | 44° | wet bulb 37° 60% humidity | NW 13 g– mph 24h low 32° · rain 0.00″ |
| Lincoln Peak 3,940 ft | 40° | wet bulb 35° 68% humidity | wind sensor iced? reads 0 for 3 h+ while the ridge forecast blows 24h low 28° · rain 0.00″ |
| Mt Ellen Summit 4,083 ft | 43° | NWS forecast for this hour; no live station up top | SW 26 g34 mph feels like 33° |
Mad River Glen
| MRG Base 1,652 ft | 50° | wet bulb 41° 47% humidity | NNW 11 g15 mph 24h low 35° · rain 0.00″ |
| MRG Midstation 2,940 ft | 44° | wet bulb 37° 58% humidity | NW 1 g11 mph 24h low 32° · rain 0.00″ |
West slope · Bear Cobble side
| Bear Cobble 1,580 ft · their station isn’t reporting | –° | wet bulb –° –% humidity | 24h low –° · rain –″ |
| Zeno 1,668 ft | 48° | wet bulb 42° 69% humidity | ENE 3 g3 mph 24h low 37° · rain 0.00″ |
| Lincoln Gap Road 1,738 ft | 46° | wet bulb 39° 61% humidity | 24h low 35° · rain –″ |
| Dunham Maple 1,773 ft · station offline, last report Jun 18 | –° | wet bulb –° –% humidity | 24h low –° · rain –″ |
Mt Ellen Summit / Next 36 Hours
No snow forecast up top over the period. Last Updated at 227 AM EDT Wed Oct 07 2026
TODAY Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph, increasing to 30 to 35 mph this afternoon.
TONIGHT Mostly cloudy until midnight, then becoming in and out of clouds. A slight chance of showers until midnight, then a chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph.
THURSDAY Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 30 to 35 mph.
TODAY Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph, increasing to 30 to 35 mph this afternoon.
TONIGHT Mostly cloudy until midnight, then becoming in and out of clouds. A slight chance of showers until midnight, then a chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph.
THURSDAY Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 30 to 35 mph.
| When | Temp | Feels | Wind mph | Summit | Precip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 9a | 39° | 28° | SW 24 g31 | 45% cloud | 1% |
| Wed 12p | 48° | 40° | SSW 28 g37 | 61% cloud | 4% |
| Wed 3p | 52° | 52° | SSW 31 g37 | 60% cloud | 6% |
| Wed 6p | 52° | 52° | SSW 34 g39 | 54% cloud | 7% |
| Wed 9p | 50° | 41° | SW 37 g42 | in & out of cloud | 21% |
| Thu 12a | 50° | 41° | SW 37 g41 | in & out of cloud | 20% |
| Thu 3a | 50° | 41° | SW 34 g36 | in & out of cloud | 35% |
| Thu 6a | 49° | 41° | SW 28 g31 | 61% cloud | 42% |
| Thu 9a | 47° | 37° | WSW 35 g37 | 43% cloud | 53% |
| Thu 12p | 51° | 51° | WSW 31 g35 | in the clouds | 41% |
| Thu 3p | 52° | 52° | W 29 g34 | in & out of cloud | 27% |
| Thu 6p | 49° | 40° | W 32 g32 | 25% cloud | 22% |
NWS Burlington enhanced mountain forecast for Mt Ellen, 4,083 ft · source
Snow Outlook / 7 Days
| Day | Snow | Summit | Base | Freezing level | Top gust |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 10/7 | rain to the summit | 39–50° | 47–58° | 9,000–10,200 ft | 32 |
| Thu 10/8 | dry | 40–53° | 48–61° | 5,200–9,200 ft | 33 |
| Fri 10/9 | rain to the summit | 35–46° | 44–55° | 3,700–5,400 ft | 32 |
| Sat 10/10 | dry | 33–52° | 41–61° | 4,100–13,300 ft | 17 |
| Sun 10/11 | dry | 47–60° | 55–69° | 9,600–13,300 ft | 35 |
| Mon 10/12 | rain to the summit | 50–60° | 59–68° | 10,700–12,700 ft | 28 |
| Tue 10/13 | rain to the summit | 29–53° | 37–62° | 9,900–12,100 ft | 41 |
ECMWF at Mt Ellen Summit (4,083 ft) and Lincoln Peak Base (1,719 ft), snow as fallen depth · freezing level from GFS · temperatures from the Up South blend (8 models, corrected and weighted by a 2-winter backtest)
Last 3 Days / Every Station
hourly temperature · Sugarbush’s own stations (Lincoln Peak and the two Mids) have no public history, so their lines grow from Oct 6 as the rig records them